Largest company by market cap — October
- NVIDIA78%
- Apple16%
AI
23
Companies to go public in 2026
- Anthropic87%
- Kraken13%
- Revolut10%
- Canva8%
- OpenAI4%
- DataBricks4%
- Stripe3%
- SpaceX91%
OpenAI GPT Astra 6.1+ released by ...?
- October 16, 20265%
- October 23, 20266%
- October 31, 202619%
- December 31, 202694%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- PayPal20%
- Perplexity AI16%
- eBay15%
- GitLab13%
- Snapchat12%
- Ubisoft10%
- Anthropic7%
- OpenAI7%
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
- Anthropic48%
- Google40%
- OpenAI10%
- DeepSeek2%
- xAI3%
- Meta2%
What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?
- Less than 80%10%
- Between 80.0% and 89.9% (inclusive)32%
- Between 90.0% and 99.9% (inclusive)53%
- 100% or higher5%
Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Yes25%
No75%
AI data center in space by ...?
- December 31, 20265%
- December 31, 202715%
Will the AI bubble burst by…?
- By December 31, 20266%
- By June 30, 202719%
What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?
- Between 93.1% and 96.0% (inclusive)72%
- 96.1% or higher28%
- Less than 85.1%5%
- Between 85.1% and 89.0% (inclusive)6%
- Between 89.1% and 93.0% (inclusive)49%
Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Yes17%
No83%
Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Yes20%
No80%
Sam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
Yes93%
No7%
Will Section 230 of the CDA (Communications Decency Act) be _____ in 2026?
- Revised or replaced with new legislation12%
- Revoked7%
Will the US Congress pass, and the President sign, a binding frontier-AI law before 2027?
Yes6%
No94%
Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?
Yes2%
No98%
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2026?
Yes8%
No92%
Will OpenAI be acquired in 2026?
Yes8%
No92%
Stability AI convicted of infringing property rights by the end of 2026?
Yes75%
No25%
Will the EU order a general-purpose AI model withdrawn or restricted from its market before 2027?
Yes3%
No97%
Will Midjourney be found liable for copyright infringement in the Disney/Comcast lawsuit in 2026?
Yes8%
No92%
UN agency for artificial intelligence created in 2026?
Yes10%
No90%
Will the US create a new regulatory body for AI oversight in 2026?
Yes8%
No92%