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Will David Bernhardt leave the Trump administration in 2019? No: real money —, play money 93% Yes: real money —, play money 7% Volume: real money 1040, play money 1959.15 Bettors: real money 0, play money 1 Categories: Politics, USA, White House, Staff and Cabinet Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Will David Bernhardt leave the Trump administration in 2019?

Market Rules

David Bernhardt is currently serving the Trump Administration as Secretary of the Interior. If he remains in office by the end of December 31st, 2019, this question will be resolved as "No". Otherwise, it will be resolved as "Yes".

The criteria to resolve this question is the effective and permanent release from duties by David Bernhardt. Therefore, the following scenarios shall not count as leaving office:

1) Announcing his intention to leave office before December 31, but only doing so after such date

2) Being temporarily released from duty, only to be readmitted into office within 48h from that.

In both of the referred cases, this question shall still be resolved as "No"

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