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Usa

6

Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?

Yes51%
No49%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026

  • Less than 0.5%1%
  • Between 0.5% and 1.0%1%
  • Between 1.0% and 1.5%2%
  • Between 1.5% and 2.0%4%
  • Between 2.0% and 2.5%11%
  • Between 2.5% and 3.0%12%
  • More than 3.0%66%

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Yes30%
No70%

How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

  • Hit 4.8%99%
  • Hit 5.0%99%
  • Hit 5.2%99%
  • Hit 5.5%29%
  • Hit 5.7%14%
  • Hit 6.0%3%

Will the US Congress pass, and the President sign, a binding frontier-AI law before 2027?

Yes6%
No94%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Yes21%
No79%
Bet on the future.
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