How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Hit 4.8%: real money 99%, play money 99%
Hit 5.0%: real money 97%, play money 99%
Hit 5.2%: real money 99%, play money 98%
Hit 5.5%: real money 46%, play money 27%
Hit 5.7%: real money 27%, play money 10%
Hit 6.0%: real money 3%, play money 3%
Volume: real money 772.5424382, play money 64450.38171734
Bettors: real money 18, play money 13
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates
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Market Rules
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the US 10-year Treasury par yield reaches or exceeds the listed value on any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, per the US Department of the Treasury’s "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" dataset. Markets resolve independently — more than one can resolve "Yes".
Comments
- almascript: looks like we hit 5.0% on sept 15th? or am I looking at wrong chart