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When will GPT-4 be launched? Before April 1st: real money 82%, play money 55% Not before 2024: real money 7%, play money 3% Between April 1st and June 30th: real money 6%, play money 34% Between July 1st and September 30th: real money 3%, play money 5% Between October 1st and December 31st: real money 2%, play money 3% Volume: real money 235.90294904, play money 7640 Bettors: real money 2, play money 2 Categories: Science, Artificial Intelligence Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 864.12844417, play 50970.64319149 Bettors: real 54, play 46 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% Will OpenAI be acquired in 2026? (ID: 231566) Volume: real 276.30171488, play 29328.68812525 Bettors: real 8, play 14 Leading (real money): Will OpenAI be acquired in 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Will OpenAI be acquired in 2026? 10% Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (ID: 231720) Volume: real 3881.54465755, play 379639.74795465 Bettors: real 51, play 75 Leading (real money): Anthropic 98% Leading (play money): Anthropic 98% Which company will have the best AI model for text-to-video generation at the end of June 2026? (ID: 231728) Volume: real 781.44104704, play 41165.60642488 Bettors: real 31, play 30 Leading (real money): Google 29% Leading (play money): Google 39% Will OpenAI announce a consumer hardware device by July 1, 2026? (ID: 219081) Volume: real 625.01936184, play 52123.56425644 Bettors: real 16, play 43 Leading (real money): Will OpenAI announce a consumer hardware device by July 1, 2026? 4% Leading (play money): Will OpenAI announce a consumer hardware device by July 1, 2026? 100%

When will GPT-4 be launched?

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The public release of the text-generating model ChatGPT hints at an exponential change in the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in internet searches, education and intellectual creation, strengthening the competition among Big Tech companies. The unparalleled size of the database used to train this AI, GPT-3, and efficiency will most likely increase in its updated version, GPT-4.

This market will be resolved in favor of the alternative whose range of dates includes the date announced for the public release of GPT-4. The announcement of this new technology must come through an official channel or spokesperson for either Microsoft or OpenAI. The referred date should mark the public access to the technology, broadly or in a restricted manner.

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