artificial-intelligence predictions, powered by the crowd | Futuur

Artificial Intelligence

20

Largest company by market cap — October

NVIDIA78%
Apple16%

Companies to go public in 2026

Anthropic87%
Kraken13%
Revolut10%
Canva8%
OpenAI4%
DataBricks4%
Stripe3%
SpaceX91%

OpenAI GPT Astra 6.1+ released by ...?

October 16, 20265%
October 23, 20266%
October 31, 202619%
December 31, 202694%

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal20%
Perplexity AI16%
eBay15%
GitLab13%
Snapchat12%
Ubisoft10%
Anthropic7%
OpenAI7%

Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic48%
Google40%
OpenAI10%
DeepSeek2%
xAI3%
Meta2%

What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?

Less than 80%10%
Between 80.0% and 89.9% (inclusive)32%
Between 90.0% and 99.9% (inclusive)53%
100% or higher5%

Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

AI data center in space by ...?

December 31, 20265%
December 31, 202715%

What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?

Between 93.1% and 96.0% (inclusive)72%
96.1% or higher28%
Less than 85.1%5%
Between 85.1% and 89.0% (inclusive)6%
Between 89.1% and 93.0% (inclusive)49%

Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?

Sam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?

Will Section 230 of the CDA (Communications Decency Act) be _____ in 2026?

Revised or replaced with new legislation12%
Revoked7%

Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?

Will OpenAI be acquired in 2026?

Will an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?

Stability AI convicted of infringing property rights by the end of 2026?

Will Midjourney be found liable for copyright infringement in the Disney/Comcast lawsuit in 2026?

UN agency for artificial intelligence created in 2026?

Will the US create a new regulatory body for AI oversight in 2026?