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Will the Antarctic sea ice minimum in 2024 be lower than in 2023? Yes: real money 83%, play money 84% No: real money 17%, play money 16% Volume: real money 267.60147458, play money 24651.3 Bettors: real money 7, play money 66 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 987.24947279, play 508517.50310836 Bettors: real 43, play 1223 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 66% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 51% Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 375.69614308, play 69130.45887073 Bettors: real 11, play 26 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 72% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 80% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 316.75459546, play 17381.5251826 Bettors: real 23, play 60 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 46% Leading (play money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 62%

Will the Antarctic sea ice minimum in 2024 be lower than in 2023?

Market Rules

The Antarctic sea ice reaches its minimum each year between February and early March. According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), the average monthly Antarctic sea ice extent in February 2023 was 1.91 million square km.

If data for February 2024 indicates that the monthly average minimum for Antarctic sea ice levels was lower than 1.91 million square km, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Source: https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/data-and-image-archive

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  • xitman: Quando teremos a solução deste mercado? Já estamos em março de 2024.
  • Futuur: xitman Os mercados são resolvidos apenas quando os dados oficiais a respeito do indicador em questão são publicados. Embora estivéssemos já estivéssemos em março quando você postou o comentário acima, o NSIDC ainda não tinha divulgado os números para o período de fevereiro, então o mercado não podia ser solucionado. Agora que os números tornaram-se públicos, pudemos resolver o mercado como "Não", já que a média mensal mínima foi de 2.14 milhões de km quadrados em fevereiro de 2024, acima dos 1,91 milhão de km quadrados de fevereiro de 2023.

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