Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm: real money 43%, play money 16% Greater than 4.21 mm: real money 18%, play money 76% Between 3.71 mm to 4.2 mm: real money 18%, play money 4% 3.2 mm or less: real money 14%, play money 3% Volume: real money 212.83978154, play money 12350.5851826 Bettors: real money 23, play money 58 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 221.8600438, play 48985.8979 Bettors: real 8, play 14 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 23% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 39% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 343.49419209, play 38229.6986922 Bettors: real 12, play 83 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 72% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 36% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.96250776, play 445025.99143697 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 29% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 578.12137578, play 82713.65614915 Bettors: real 28, play 191 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 90%

Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC

Market Rules

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) gathers every six years all the existing scientific literature in the field of climate and publishes a document that presents the global consensus on the effects of human activity on global warming. In 2021, the sixth report brought a series of data and forecasts for the coming decades.

With high confidence, the report observed that the oceans are rising more and more, nearing 4.2 mm per year. It also takes for granted that such levels will continue to rise, with the possibility of reaching up to 1.01 m by the end of the century, in the worst-case scenario.

The next IPCC is expected to take place in 2028 and will reveal whether the rise in sea levels was more or less intense that what had been predicted in 2021.

The alternative that contains the average annual rise in sea level between 2021 and 2027 will be considered the winning outcome of this market. This market will be resolved based on the IPCC report from 2028.

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