Markets
Leaderboard
China to try to take Taiwan using military force in 2024? No: real money 95%, play money 92% Yes: real money 5%, play money 8% Volume: real money 346.64266219, play money 26762 Bettors: real money 8, play money 28 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Global Conflicts, Taiwan Related markets China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? (ID: 133863) Volume: real 1711.95573343, play 248684.5794556 Bettors: real 35, play 510 Leading (real money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 8% Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? (ID: 231586) Volume: real 151.03978985, play 12608.41721536 Bettors: real 7, play 22 Leading (real money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 13% Iran to agree to end uranium enrichment by ...? (ID: 238235) Volume: real 594.32564522, play 26200.89504964 Bettors: real 19, play 17 Leading (real money): December 31 39% Leading (play money): December 31 36% Will Xi Jinping leave office in 2026? (ID: 222154) Volume: real 80.0849996, play 22062.57817632 Bettors: real 3, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Xi Jinping leave office in 2026? 4% Leading (play money): Will Xi Jinping leave office in 2026? 8%

China to try to take Taiwan using military force in 2024?

Market Rules

Tensions between the People's Republic of China and the Republic of China (a.k.a. Taiwan) have risen since 2016.

If by December 31st, 2024, the People's Republic of China deploys military strength in an attempt to take control over the Taiwanese territory, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Only kinetic military action will be considered to resolve this market. Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and land armored vehicles deployment inside Taiwanese territory. The deployment of airships and warships to Taiwanese territories will only be taken into account if it causes structural damage or leads to a martial response, and each of such cases will be analyzed individually.

Tags

People also viewed