Trump to create a national Bitcoin reserve by May 1? Yes: real money 6%, play money 17% No: real money 94%, play money 83% Volume: real money 2396.06671313, play money 97882.05 Bettors: real money 46, play money 216 Categories: Finance, Crypto, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Related markets Which price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? (ID: 231754) Volume: real 30538.39718073, play 605593.24017735 Bettors: real 118, play 329 Leading (real money): 75,000 99% Leading (play money): 75,000 98% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72%

Trump to create a national Bitcoin reserve by May 1?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether the US federal government will hold any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 20, 2025, 00:01 (UTC-3) and May 1, 2025, 23:59 (UTC-3). For this market’s purposes, values confiscated in Bitcoin do not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.

To assess if the government holds any amount in Bitcoin, this market will consider as sources of reference statements issued by the White House or any of its subsidiary departments, the Federal Reserve, the Office of Management and Business, the Government Accountability Office and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Credible news reports and Congressional hearings and inquiries on the acquisition of Bitcoin may also be considered as secondary sources of reference to resolve this market.

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Comments

  • Flcavqueiroz: Although... "The government will not acquire additional assets for the Stockpile beyond those obtained through forfeiture proceedings. " https://x.com/davidsacks47/status/1897802280738734236?s=46
  • Futuur: Thanks for the comment, @Flcavqueiroz . Indeed, the rules of this market determine that crypto assets that had already been confiscated by the US government before the announcement should not count towards resolving the market. Therefore, the market will remain open until it either reaches its deadline or a Bitcoin reserve is created via the effective acquisition of assets beyond what had already been confiscated before the announcement.
  • Flcavqueiroz: Thanks for the answer! 
  • sparkman_dan: This is a different question than the one you asked.   "Will they buy Bitcoin?" is different from "will they hold it?" 
  • Flcavqueiroz: He just sign it https://www.reuters.com/technology/trump-signs-order-establish-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-white-house-crypto-czar-2025-03-07/
  • BTGoldmanasset: Trump é um estelionatário eleitoral. Nunca será criada essa reserva.

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