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Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2025? Yes: real money 8%, play money 9% No: real money 92%, play money 91% Volume: real money 218.05409361, play money 20100 Bettors: real money 6, play money 11 Categories: Politics, Europe, Russia Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 24, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1504.07725659, play 138904.14217906 Bettors: real 87, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1111.38306679, play 49356.17081938 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 10% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2025?

Market Rules

If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of a NATO member, and/or targets facilities, vehicles, or citizens of a member country of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by December 31st, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources but includes shooting projectiles and deploying troops and military vehicles inside a territory.

Accidental or unintentional attacks that are promptly acknowledged as such by Russia will not be considered sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution.

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