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Will any member of the European Union decide to leave the EU in 2025? Yes: real money 5%, play money 2% No: real money 95%, play money 98% Volume: real money 143.0965736, play money 24340 Bettors: real money 1, play money 8 Categories: Politics, Europe Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 203.9270019, play 17509.4420062 Bettors: real 13, play 24 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 6% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 844.66280964, play 104076.15243193 Bettors: real 32, play 26 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 64% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 66% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 617.96404696, play 52328.39979531 Bettors: real 19, play 38 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 2% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 100%

Will any member of the European Union decide to leave the EU in 2025?

Market Rules

For this market to be resolved as "Yes", it is only necessary that a member state of the EU officially notifies the European Council between January 1st and December 31st, 2025, of its intention to leave the EU, following Article 50(2) from the Lisbon Treaty, regardless of how long the actual process of leaving may take.

Only official notifications to the European Council will be considered valid. Non-binding referendums or political statements will not be sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution.

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