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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term? Yes: real money 50%, play money 17% No: real money 50%, play money 83% Volume: real money 32.306144, play money 9991.63567976 Bettors: real money 9, play money 11 Categories: Politics, USA, White House Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2742.54682011, play 121371.10993985 Bettors: real 39, play 215 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 37% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 80% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3258.0711089, play 138639.04709376 Bettors: real 31, play 211 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 40% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 46%

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?

Market Rules

This market predicts whether, while Donald J. Trump holds the office of President of the United States (ending when he leaves office on the scheduled date of January 20, 2029, or earlier), he will issue an executive grant of clemency that either pardons Ghislaine Maxwell or commutes her federal sentence.

The market resolves to “Yes” the moment such clemency is made public through an official White House or Department of Justice announcement, a signed warrant released by the Office of the Pardon Attorney, or a notice in the Federal Register. Any conditional pardon or partial commutation also qualifies for this market’s purposes. If Trump leaves office without granting clemency to Maxwell, the market resolves “No”.

Reputable news outlets that explicitly quote or reproduce the official clemency document may also serve as confirmation. Subsequent litigation, revocation, or state-level actions do not affect this market’s resolution.

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