New limits to monocratic decisions in Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) in 2026? Yes: real money 13%, play money 16% No: real money 87%, play money 84% Volume: real money 48.94921801, play money 3884.15094496 Bettors: real money 7, play money 5 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Congress Related markets Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? (ID: 235764) Volume: real 462.23842176, play 31205.58894744 Bettors: real 12, play 22 Leading (real money): Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? 14% Leading (play money): Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? 14% Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? (ID: 231555) Volume: real 5808.5977396, play 181905.52516145 Bettors: real 16, play 27 Leading (real money): Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? 2% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 337841.92892331 Bettors: real 45, play 554 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 75% Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 128.73949158, play 166835.26694265 Bettors: real 22, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 2%

New limits to monocratic decisions in Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether new constitutional or legislative limits on monocratic decisions in Brazil’s Supreme Court (STF) will be approved between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official records of constitutional amendments or legislation approved by Brazil’s National Congress that impose limits on monocratic (single-Justice) decisions of the STF.

If a constitutional amendment or law imposing such limits is approved during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Approval of alternative proposals with the same substantive effect will also count. If official congressional records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Brazilian news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive approval of limits, not the specific bill number. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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