Will a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress in 2026?

This event predicts whether the U.S. Congress will pass binding legislation establishing a code of ethics for the Supreme Court of the United States by December 31, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official congressional records confirming passage of such legislation.

If Congress passes binding legislation creating a code of ethics for the Supreme Court by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Voluntary, advisory, or court‑adopted codes without congressional passage will not count. If legislative records are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations. Resolution will reflect enactment of binding law, not proposals or internal guidelines. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.