Will a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress in 2026? Yes: real money 9%, play money 8% No: real money 91%, play money 92% Volume: real money 89.52643136, play money 10519.37884469 Bettors: real money 6, play money 5 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? (ID: 235764) Volume: real 462.23842176, play 31205.58894744 Bettors: real 12, play 22 Leading (real money): Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? 14% Leading (play money): Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? 14% Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 107.38121299, play 3013.37809888 Bettors: real 40, play 46 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 26% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 54% Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? (ID: 231555) Volume: real 5808.5977396, play 181905.52516145 Bettors: real 16, play 27 Leading (real money): Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026? 2% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2033.0296517, play 337841.92892331 Bettors: real 45, play 554 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 3% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 75%

Will a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the U.S. Congress will pass binding legislation establishing a code of ethics for the Supreme Court of the United States by December 31, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official congressional records confirming passage of such legislation.

If Congress passes binding legislation creating a code of ethics for the Supreme Court by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Voluntary, advisory, or court‑adopted codes without congressional passage will not count. If legislative records are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations. Resolution will reflect enactment of binding law, not proposals or internal guidelines. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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