Markets
Leaderboard
Will any Fed governor leave office in 2026? Yes: real money 60%, play money 57% No: real money 40%, play money 43% Volume: real money 228.23144774, play money 20699.9965 Bettors: real money 2, play money 3 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 2962.18003222, play 136707.61608244 Bettors: real 26, play 206 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 50% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1935.24408401, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 18, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 50% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42%

Will any Fed governor leave office in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether a member of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board will permanently leave office during calendar year 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Federal Reserve Board materials confirming changes in Board membership.

If any Federal Reserve Board member permanently leaves office in 2026 due to resignation, removal, death, or expiration of term, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary absences or leaves of absence will not count. If official records are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. financial news organizations. Resolution will reflect permanent departure from the Board, not temporary situations. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets