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Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026 Less than 1.4%: real money 1%, play money 2% 1.4% to 1.6%: real money 2%, play money 5% 1.7% to 1.9%: real money 5%, play money 34% 2.0% to 2.2%: real money 5%, play money 40% 2.3% to 2.5%: real money 6%, play money 15% 2.6% to 2.9%: real money 5%, play money 2% 3.0% or more: real money 77%, play money 2% Volume: real money 1308.39829148, play money 9365.29775226 Bettors: real money 41, play money 16 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 203.9270019, play 18562.07009612 Bettors: real 13, play 24 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 6% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 888.46857274, play 126870.5934067 Bettors: real 32, play 26 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 69% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 69% Winner of France’s presidential election (ID: 237493) Volume: real 942.77259695, play 55650.19780173 Bettors: real 41, play 27 Leading (real money): Marine Le Pen 47% Leading (play money): Marine Le Pen 43%

Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026

Market Rules

This event refers to the annual inflation rate for the euro area in 2026, defined as the percentage change over the 12 months ending in December 2026 compared to the same period ending in December 2025. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat. Resolution will use the first official figure for December 2026 as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.

If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg. The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source. Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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