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Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary Abdul El-Sayed: real money 92%, play money 84% Haley Stevens: real money 8%, play money 14% Mallory McMorrow: real money 1%, play money 3% Volume: real money 753.29490073, play money 61242.98102648 Bettors: real money 27, play money 14 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections, Senate Related markets Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 23643.29445345, play 1096676.49960537 Bettors: real 138, play 268 Leading (real money): Lula 50% Leading (play money): Flávio Bolsonaro 56% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2014.44793683, play 284976.29312887 Bettors: real 45, play 552 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 21% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 9%

Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Democratic primary for the United States Senate election in Michigan, scheduled for August 4, 2026. The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Michigan Democratic Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Michigan law.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Michigan. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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