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Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary Abdul El-Sayed: real money 70%, play money 84% Haley Stevens: real money 30%, play money 14% Mallory McMorrow: real money 1%, play money 3% Volume: real money 620.67328223, play money 59675.3740481 Bettors: real money 27, play money 12 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections, Senate Related markets Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 8764.977145, play 885692.73684831 Bettors: real 122, play 214 Leading (real money): Lula 62% Leading (play money): Lula 76% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1968.12791744, play 280411.38954277 Bettors: real 43, play 551 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 11%

Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Democratic primary for the United States Senate election in Michigan, scheduled for August 4, 2026. The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Michigan Democratic Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Michigan law.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Michigan. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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