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Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary Abdul El-Sayed: real money 58%, play money 40% Haley Stevens: real money 20%, play money 11% Mallory McMorrow: real money 10%, play money 54% Volume: real money 557.69395626, play money 13500.3086 Bettors: real money 20, play money 9 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections Related markets Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 6658.31619151, play 708070.70206999 Bettors: real 106, play 183 Leading (real money): Lula 55% Leading (play money): Lula 56% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.92761259, play 255081.82083213 Bettors: real 43, play 550 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 115647.39564601 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 75% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.61949177, play 137976.01234673 Bettors: real 30, play 209 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 10% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55%

Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Democratic primary for the United States Senate election in Michigan, scheduled for August 4, 2026. The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Michigan Democratic Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Michigan law.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Michigan. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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