Winner of Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary
Market Rules
This event predicts who will win the Democratic primary for the United States Senate election in Minnesota, scheduled for August 11, 2026. The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the electoral plurality rule mandated by Minnesota law.
The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Minnesota. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.