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Winner of Louisiana's Senate Republican primary Julia Letlow: real money 84%, play money 94% John Fleming: real money 16%, play money 6% Bill Cassidy: real money 11%, play money 12% Volume: real money 448.89867856, play money 38022.86842878 Bettors: real money 23, play money 9 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections Related markets Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 23699.88443783, play 1108345.34391142 Bettors: real 139, play 269 Leading (real money): Flávio Bolsonaro 50% Leading (play money): Lula 60% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2014.44793683, play 284976.29312887 Bettors: real 45, play 552 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 18% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 9%

Winner of Louisiana's Senate Republican primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Republican primary for the United States Senate election in Louisiana, scheduled for May 16, 2026.The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate receives enough votes to win outright, this event will resolve based on the official winner of the runoff election.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Louisiana. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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