Ebola virus declared a Public Health Emergency by the WHO in 2026?

This market predicts whether the World Health Organization (WHO) will declare the spread of the Ebola virus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC). A PHEIC is the WHO's highest alarm level under the International Health Regulations (2005), formally declared by the WHO Director-General after consultation with the IHR Emergency Committee. If the WHO declares such a PHEIC and specifically identifies Ebola virus disease as the subject during the 2026 window, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

The declaration must specifically name Ebola virus disease. A broader PHEIC that does not name Ebola, or a regional alert below the PHEIC threshold (e.g., a WHO Africa Regional Office Grade-3 emergency), does not qualify. A pre-existing PHEIC declared before January 1, 2026 that merely remains in effect during 2026 does count — the qualifying declaration must be issued (initially or re-declared) during the 2026 window. Subsequent revocation does not affect resolution under first-truth resolution.

The Primary Designated Source is the official WHO announcement at who.int, specifically the WHO Director-General's statement under Article 12 of the International Health Regulations (2005), supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.