US Treasury 1-month yield on July 31? 3.64 or less: real money 8%, play money 8% 3.63 to 3.65: real money 17%, play money 17% 3.66 to 3.68: real money 23%, play money 23% 3.69 to 3.71: real money 25%, play money 25% 3.72 to 3.74: real money 19%, play money 19% 3.75 or more: real money 8%, play money 8% Volume: real money 49.98, play money 5000 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2045.00877596, play 37932.49135976 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1106.67424376, play 128833.46950631 Bettors: real 78, play 105 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1268.19508194, play 40999.49399825 Bettors: real 17, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 25% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 43% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117617.43955531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3012.83733208, play 138410.80600485 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55%

US Treasury 1-month yield on July 31?

Market Rules

This event predicts the yield curve par rate for the 1-month U.S. Treasury note as reported for July 31, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the U.S. Department of the Treasury, using the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates publication. The relevant value is the 1-month yield shown for July 31, 2026, as first published by the Treasury.

If the Treasury publication for that date is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same 1-month par yield figure from the Treasury’s official data archives or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg citing Treasury data. The markets will resolve according to the substantive yield value and the intent of the market, not minor formatting or presentation differences. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the data after the initial publication will not affect the market's resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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