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Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by July 31? Yes: real money 20%, play money 19% No: real money 80%, play money 81% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Politics, USA, Congress Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1665.02450162, play 28331.44766899 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1321.77542195, play 137521.52611427 Bettors: real 83, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 134134.83831538 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 1968.12791744, play 280411.38954277 Bettors: real 43, play 551 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 11%

Will Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by July 31?

Market Rules

This market concerns whether U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY) will cast a recorded vote on the Senate floor during the market period. It resolves to "Yes" if the official U.S. Senate roll-call records show McConnell casting any recorded floor vote (Yea, Nay, or Present) on or before July 31, 2026 (23:59 ET), and "No" otherwise. The resolution source is the official U.S. Senate roll-call vote records (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/votes.htm).

Because the market resolves on the first qualifying vote, a "Yes" is final once recorded, regardless of later events. Announced positions or vote pairs that the official record does not count as the Senator's own cast vote do not qualify. Resolution reflects the recorded voting activity shown in the official Senate record, not procedural technicalities.

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