US Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — July 2026
3.0% or less: real money —, play money —
3.10%: real money —, play money —
3.20%: real money —, play money —
3.30%: real money —, play money —
3.40%: real money —, play money —
3.50%: real money —, play money —
3.6% or more: real money —, play money —
Volume: real money 0, play money 0
Bettors: real money 0, play money 0
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation
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Market Rules
Markets in this event resolve according to the 12-month percentage change in the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) for the twelve months ending July 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (one decimal place) in the Personal Income and Outlays report scheduled for August 26, 2026. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".