US CPI inflation (year-over-year) — July 2026
Above 3.0%: real money 82%, play money 82%
Above 3.1%: real money 99%, play money 99%
Above 3.2%: real money 99%, play money 99%
Above 3.3%: real money 93%, play money 93%
Above 3.4%: real money 88%, play money 88%
Above 3.5%: real money 85%, play money 85%
Above 3.6%: real money 45%, play money 45%
Above 3.7%: real money 35%, play money 35%
Above 3.8%: real money 18%, play money 18%
Above 3.9%: real money 12%, play money 12%
Volume: real money 0, play money 0
Bettors: real money 0, play money 0
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation
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Market Rules
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the unadjusted 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) for the year ending July 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (one decimal place), is greater than the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".