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US Core CPI inflation (year-over-year) — July 2026 Exactly 2.3%: real money 11%, play money 11% Exactly 2.4%: real money 32%, play money 32% Exactly 2.5%: real money 48%, play money 34% Exactly 2.6%: real money 10%, play money 10% Exactly 2.7%: real money 8%, play money 8% Exactly 2.8%: real money 4%, play money 4% Exactly 3.3%: real money 4%, play money 4% Exactly 3.4%: real money 8%, play money 8% Exactly 3.6%: real money 3%, play money 3% Exactly 3.7%: real money 10%, play money 10% Volume: real money 15.94705367, play money 0 Bettors: real money 2, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222364) Volume: real 45.29570703, play 2285.67305726 Bettors: real 7, play 14 Leading (real money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 10% Leading (play money): Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 15% US annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026? (ID: 231758) Volume: real 35.39676923, play 50.49806122 Bettors: real 26, play 12 Leading (real money): Between 2.5% and 2,9% 41% Leading (play money): Between 2.5% and 2,9% 42% Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222363) Volume: real 226.21569691, play 4616.10932043 Bettors: real 13, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 47% Leading (play money): Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? 45% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1619.71988078, play 36328.18707992 Bettors: real 24, play 118 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 49% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

US Core CPI inflation (year-over-year) — July 2026

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the unadjusted 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI), for the year ending July 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (one decimal place), is exactly the listed value. Markets resolve independently; at most one will resolve "Yes", and all resolve "No" if the reported figure matches none of the listed values.

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