US CPI inflation (month-over-month) — July 2026
Above -0.4%: real money 99%, play money 99%
Above -0.3%: real money 97%, play money 97%
Above -0.2%: real money 94%, play money 94%
Above -0.1%: real money 90%, play money 90%
Above 0.0%: real money 62%, play money 62%
Above 0.1%: real money 22%, play money 22%
Above 0.2%: real money 7%, play money 7%
Above 0.3%: real money 1%, play money 1%
Above 0.4%: real money 3%, play money 3%
Above 0.5%: real money 2%, play money 2%
Volume: real money 0, play money 0
Bettors: real money 0, play money 0
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation
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Market Rules
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) for July 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (one decimal place), is greater than the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".