China unemployment rate — July 2026 Above 4.6%: real money 99%, play money 99% Above 4.7%: real money 97%, play money 97% Above 4.8%: real money 97%, play money 97% Above 4.9%: real money 89%, play money 89% Above 5.0%: real money 78%, play money 78% Above 5.1%: real money 66%, play money 66% Above 5.2%: real money 11%, play money 11% Above 5.3%: real money 13%, play money 13% Above 5.4%: real money 9%, play money 9% Above 5.5%: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, China Related markets China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? (ID: 133863) Volume: real 1711.95573343, play 248684.5794556 Bettors: real 35, play 510 Leading (real money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 8% Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? (ID: 231586) Volume: real 151.03978985, play 12608.41721536 Bettors: real 7, play 22 Leading (real money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 9% Leading (play money): Ballistic missiles launched between India and China in 2026? 13% Will Xi Jinping leave office in 2026? (ID: 222154) Volume: real 80.0849996, play 21955.0497278 Bettors: real 3, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Xi Jinping leave office in 2026? 4% Leading (play money): Will Xi Jinping leave office in 2026? 8% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 6.29780187, play 2500.4021 Bettors: real 21, play 10 Leading (real money): Between 5% and 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 34% Will Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by _____? (ID: 231738) Volume: real 49.62707624, play 2769.05005323 Bettors: real 20, play 13 Leading (real money): End of 2028 27% Leading (play money): End of 2028 24%

China unemployment rate — July 2026

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold. Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".

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