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Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% No change: real money 85%, play money 85% 25 bps increase: real money 12%, play money 12% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Japan Related markets United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 650.14807511, play 86867.56430184 Bettors: real 32, play 25 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 46% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 61% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 917.62636856, play 86423.24639342 Bettors: real 40, play 31 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 89% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 72% MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 11.20204594, play 100.399 Bettors: real 22, play 9 Leading (real money): Between 10% and 20% 40% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 6.29780187, play 2500.4021 Bettors: real 21, play 10 Leading (real money): Between 5% and 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 34% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1814.66438898, play 30956.08789273 Bettors: real 61, play 33 Leading (real money): 0 87% Leading (play money): 0 61%

Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the upper bound of the Bank of Japan’s short-term policy interest rate resulting from the Bank of Japan’s October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting (statement scheduled for October 30, 2026), relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

 

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