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Japan 10-year government bond yield at the end of 2026 3.0% or more: real money 25%, play money 25% Between 2.6% and 2.8%: real money 24%, play money 24% Between 2.8% and 3.0%: real money 20%, play money 20% Between 2.4% and 2.6%: real money 12%, play money 12% Between 2.0% and 2.2%: real money 10%, play money 10% Below 2.0%: real money 4%, play money 4% Between 2.2% and 2.4%: real money 4%, play money 4% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Japan Related markets How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? (ID: 242636) Volume: real 522.9917227, play 46851.47838599 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Hit 5.0% 99% Leading (play money): Hit 5.0% 99% Japan 2-year government bond yield at the end of 2026 (ID: 246145) Volume: real —, play — Bettors: real 0, play 0 Leading (real money): Between 1.4% and 1.6% 35% Leading (play money): Between 1.4% and 1.6% 35% MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 11.20204594, play 100.399 Bettors: real 22, play 9 Leading (real money): Between 10% and 20% 40% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 6.29780187, play 2500.4021 Bettors: real 21, play 10 Leading (real money): Between 5% and 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 34%

Japan 10-year government bond yield at the end of 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, per the value in the "10Y" column of the Japanese Ministry of Finance's "Interest Rate" data for Japanese Government Bonds (mof.go.jp). The market whose range contains the reported value will resolve "Yes"; a value falling exactly on a boundary between two brackets counts toward the higher bracket. Exactly one outcome wins.

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