How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Hit 4.8%: real money 62%, play money 62%
Hit 5.0%: real money 20%, play money 20%
Hit 5.2%: real money 11%, play money 11%
Hit 5.5%: real money 7%, play money 7%
Hit 5.7%: real money 5%, play money 5%
Hit 6.0%: real money 3%, play money 3%
Volume: real money 0, play money 0
Bettors: real money 0, play money 0
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates
Related markets
US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723)
Volume: real 459.56326686, play 85964.99639342
Bettors: real 39, play 30
Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 64%
Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 71%
Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724)
Volume: real 1489.38484684, play 30649.51116648
Bettors: real 61, play 32
Leading (real money): 0 67%
Leading (play money): 0 60%
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362)
Volume: real 1619.71988078, play 36328.18707992
Bettors: real 24, play 118
Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 49%
Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Market Rules
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the US 10-year Treasury par yield reaches or exceeds the listed value on any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, per the US Department of the Treasury’s "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" dataset. Markets resolve independently — more than one can resolve "Yes".