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Japan 2-year government bond yield at the end of 2026 Between 1.4% and 1.6%: real money 35%, play money 35% Between 1.6% and 1.8%: real money 30%, play money 30% Between 1.8% and 2.0%: real money 12%, play money 12% Between 1.2% and 1.4%: real money 12%, play money 12% 2.0% or more: real money 5%, play money 5% Between 1.0% and 1.2%: real money 4%, play money 4% Below 1.0%: real money 2%, play money 2% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Japan Related markets How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? (ID: 242636) Volume: real 522.9917227, play 46851.47838599 Bettors: real 15, play 9 Leading (real money): Hit 5.0% 99% Leading (play money): Hit 5.0% 99% Japan 10-year government bond yield at the end of 2026 (ID: 246144) Volume: real —, play — Bettors: real 0, play 0 Leading (real money): 3.0% or more 25% Leading (play money): 3.0% or more 25% MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 11.20204594, play 100.399 Bettors: real 22, play 9 Leading (real money): Between 10% and 20% 40% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 6.29780187, play 2500.4021 Bettors: real 21, play 10 Leading (real money): Between 5% and 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 34%

Japan 2-year government bond yield at the end of 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the 2-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, per the value in the "2Y" column of the Japanese Ministry of Finance's "Interest Rate" data for Japanese Government Bonds (mof.go.jp). The market whose range contains the reported value will resolve "Yes"; a value falling exactly on a boundary between two brackets counts toward the higher bracket. Exactly one outcome wins.

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