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New confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by ...? October 31: real money 7%, play money 7% October 12: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Science, Global Catastrophes Related markets Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2026? (ID: 231679) Volume: real 34.63217066, play 3823.39533593 Bettors: real 6, play 13 Leading (real money): Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2026? 12% Leading (play money): Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2026? 11% Will Russia annex territory from _____ in 2026? (ID: 231742) Volume: real 5.59697858, play 11771.3307 Bettors: real 13, play 20 Leading (real money): Lithuania 3% Leading (play money): Moldova 2% Ukraine to maintain control over ______ through the end of 2026? (ID: 231745) Volume: real 172.38155452, play 33062.83040372 Bettors: real 16, play 17 Leading (real money): Zakarpattia 95% Leading (play money): Zakarpattia 98% Major earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026? (ID: 209025) Volume: real 43.15082731, play 27363.79009195 Bettors: real 7, play 24 Leading (real money): Major earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026? 7% Leading (play money): Major earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026? 100% Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026? (ID: 231563) Volume: real 539.69032894, play 40517.6919062 Bettors: real 12, play 13 Leading (real money): Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026? 43%

New confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by ...?

Market Rules

These markets resolve on whether a new laboratory-confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in Russia is reported by each listed date (11:59 PM Moscow time), based on official Russian public health and WHO information. The case already linked to the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute does not count, and each deadline resolves independently.

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