Will the Antarctic sea ice minimum in 2024 be lower than in 2023? Yes: real money 83%, play money 84% No: real money 17%, play money 16% Volume: real money 267.60147458, play money 24651.3 Bettors: real money 7, play money 66 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 215.40651517, play 48985.7979 Bettors: real 6, play 12 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 24% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 39% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 343.40282505, play 38229.5986922 Bettors: real 10, play 81 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 72% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 37% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 212.44384839, play 12350.3851826 Bettors: real 19, play 54 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 43% Leading (play money): Greater than 4.21 mm 74% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 573.28571084, play 82713.55614915 Bettors: real 25, play 189 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 89% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.89570473, play 444831.44739855 Bettors: real 43, play 1218 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 61% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 31%

Will the Antarctic sea ice minimum in 2024 be lower than in 2023?

Market Rules

The Antarctic sea ice reaches its minimum each year between February and early March. According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), the average monthly Antarctic sea ice extent in February 2023 was 1.91 million square km.

If data for February 2024 indicates that the monthly average minimum for Antarctic sea ice levels was lower than 1.91 million square km, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Source: https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/data-and-image-archive

Tags

Comments

  • xitman: Quando teremos a solução deste mercado? Já estamos em março de 2024.
  • Futuur: xitman Os mercados são resolvidos apenas quando os dados oficiais a respeito do indicador em questão são publicados. Embora estivéssemos já estivéssemos em março quando você postou o comentário acima, o NSIDC ainda não tinha divulgado os números para o período de fevereiro, então o mercado não podia ser solucionado. Agora que os números tornaram-se públicos, pudemos resolver o mercado como "Não", já que a média mensal mínima foi de 2.14 milhões de km quadrados em fevereiro de 2024, acima dos 1,91 milhão de km quadrados de fevereiro de 2023.

Related Markets