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SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 2%, play money 7% No: real money 98%, play money 93% Volume: real money 839.46430053, play money 73092.52280048 Bettors: real money 19, play money 88 Categories: Science, Space Exploration, Moon Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 755.94482186, play 45587.4972037 Bettors: real 53, play 45 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 1134.70489845, play 187161.12910342 Bettors: real 28, play 144 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 18% Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028? (ID: 112737) Volume: real 332.45698665, play 4684.96053528 Bettors: real 10, play 34 Leading (real money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 77% Leading (play money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 78% SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? (ID: 202141) Volume: real 138.24813846, play 14240.1204 Bettors: real 6, play 26 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 6% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 21%

SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

One of SpaceX's biggest projects is the Starship, a spacecraft that is expected to take crews to the Moon and even Mars in the future. The company hopes to use the vehicle for space tourism, managing to carry up to 100 passengers at a time.

If SpaceX manages to successfully land a manned flight of the Starship on the moon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"

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  • pedro_brito: Quick clarification: does “successfully land” here mean a soft landing milestone , or overall mission success ? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Asking because in the Roscosmos Moon probe market, “successful” ended up being interpreted as mission success (soft landing) rather than the usual milestone meaning. https://futuur.com/q/112736/will-the-russian-space-agency-send-a-probe-to-the-moon-by-the-end-of-2025 --------------------------------------------------------- @verglasz

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