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SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 50%, play money 8% No: real money 50%, play money 92% Volume: real money 413.31508456, play money 72880.01331637 Bettors: real money 14, play money 85 Categories: Science, Space Exploration, Moon Related markets Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028? (ID: 112737) Volume: real 309.72233194, play 4684.86053528 Bettors: real 4, play 32 Leading (real money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 80% Leading (play money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 76% SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? (ID: 202141) Volume: real 153.54721007, play 13130.02 Bettors: real 4, play 21 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 6% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 21% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 824.95285104, play 170877.26768731 Bettors: real 24, play 136 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 50% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 50%

SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

One of SpaceX's biggest projects is the Starship, a spacecraft that is expected to take crews to the Moon and even Mars in the future. The company hopes to use the vehicle for space tourism, managing to carry up to 100 passengers at a time.

If SpaceX manages to successfully land a manned flight of the Starship on the moon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"

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  • pedro_brito: Quick clarification: does “successfully land” here mean a soft landing milestone , or overall mission success ? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Asking because in the Roscosmos Moon probe market, “successful” ended up being interpreted as mission success (soft landing) rather than the usual milestone meaning. https://futuur.com/q/112736/will-the-russian-space-agency-send-a-probe-to-the-moon-by-the-end-of-2025 --------------------------------------------------------- @verglasz

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