Markets
Leaderboard
SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 23%, play money 5% No: real money 77%, play money 95% Volume: real money 787.02162046, play money 64712.79252399 Bettors: real money 21, play money 90 Categories: Science, Space Exploration, Moon Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 1085.62043998, play 59815.01606926 Bettors: real 65, play 56 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028? (ID: 112737) Volume: real 161.17957837, play 4643.29053528 Bettors: real 10, play 34 Leading (real money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 77% Leading (play money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 78% SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? (ID: 202141) Volume: real 50.27453846, play 5155.92964445 Bettors: real 6, play 27 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 6% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 19% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 1193.64966827, play 186009.51544517 Bettors: real 28, play 146 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 18%

SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

One of SpaceX's biggest projects is the Starship, a spacecraft that is expected to take crews to the Moon and even Mars in the future. The company hopes to use the vehicle for space tourism, managing to carry up to 100 passengers at a time.

If SpaceX manages to successfully land a manned flight of the Starship on the moon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"

Tags

Comments

  • pedro_brito: Quick clarification: does “successfully land” here mean a soft landing milestone , or overall mission success ? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Asking because in the Roscosmos Moon probe market, “successful” ended up being interpreted as mission success (soft landing) rather than the usual milestone meaning. https://futuur.com/q/112736/will-the-russian-space-agency-send-a-probe-to-the-moon-by-the-end-of-2025 --------------------------------------------------------- @verglasz

Related Markets