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SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 1%, play money 1% No: real money 99%, play money 99% Volume: real money 798.20311148, play money 68327.52697574 Bettors: real money 21, play money 91 Categories: Science, Space Exploration, Moon Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 8288.9055012, play 116640.461289 Bettors: real 73, play 76 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028? (ID: 112737) Volume: real 197.11744481, play 5646.21362042 Bettors: real 11, play 36 Leading (real money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 70% Leading (play money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 3% SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? (ID: 202141) Volume: real 50.27453846, play 5155.92964445 Bettors: real 6, play 27 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 6% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 19% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 1199.00465764, play 189089.74609407 Bettors: real 28, play 146 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 7% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 7%

SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

One of SpaceX's biggest projects is the Starship, a spacecraft that is expected to take crews to the Moon and even Mars in the future. The company hopes to use the vehicle for space tourism, managing to carry up to 100 passengers at a time.

If SpaceX manages to successfully land a manned flight of the Starship on the moon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"

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  • pedro_brito: Quick clarification: does “successfully land” here mean a soft landing milestone , or overall mission success ? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Asking because in the Roscosmos Moon probe market, “successful” ended up being interpreted as mission success (soft landing) rather than the usual milestone meaning. https://futuur.com/q/112736/will-the-russian-space-agency-send-a-probe-to-the-moon-by-the-end-of-2025 --------------------------------------------------------- @verglasz

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