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SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 2%, play money 7% No: real money 98%, play money 93% Volume: real money 839.46430053, play money 73092.52280048 Bettors: real money 19, play money 88 Categories: Science, Space Exploration, Moon Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 619.04873737, play 43484.79893412 Bettors: real 47, play 37 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? (ID: 202141) Volume: real 138.25693846, play 14240.0204 Bettors: real 6, play 24 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 6% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 21% Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028? (ID: 112737) Volume: real 332.3568451, play 4684.86053528 Bettors: real 9, play 32 Leading (real money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 77% Leading (play money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 78% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 1132.48562095, play 186546.13592919 Bettors: real 28, play 143 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 15% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 22%

SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

One of SpaceX's biggest projects is the Starship, a spacecraft that is expected to take crews to the Moon and even Mars in the future. The company hopes to use the vehicle for space tourism, managing to carry up to 100 passengers at a time.

If SpaceX manages to successfully land a manned flight of the Starship on the moon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"

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  • pedro_brito: Quick clarification: does “successfully land” here mean a soft landing milestone , or overall mission success ? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Asking because in the Roscosmos Moon probe market, “successful” ended up being interpreted as mission success (soft landing) rather than the usual milestone meaning. https://futuur.com/q/112736/will-the-russian-space-agency-send-a-probe-to-the-moon-by-the-end-of-2025 --------------------------------------------------------- @verglasz

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