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New nuclear weapon tests in 2024? No: real money 93%, play money 88% Yes: real money 7%, play money 12% Volume: real money 306.21554504, play money 18922 Bettors: real money 5, play money 19 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Nuclear Issues Related markets New nuclear weapon tests in 2026? (ID: 231665) Volume: real 54.28336698, play 9744.38064489 Bettors: real 10, play 10 Leading (real money): New nuclear weapon tests in 2026? 20% Leading (play money): New nuclear weapon tests in 2026? 26% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 593.7374284, play 75730.21581616 Bettors: real 14, play 24 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 52% Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? (ID: 231636) Volume: real 99.47064594, play 4242.16509741 Bettors: real 8, play 13 Leading (real money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 12% China to double its amount of stockpiled nuclear warheads (as of 2021) by the end of 2026? (ID: 231688) Volume: real 10.38850949, play 3267.71796781 Bettors: real 6, play 8 Leading (real money): China to double its amount of stockpiled nuclear warheads (as of 2021) by the end of 2026? 34% Leading (play money): China to double its amount of stockpiled nuclear warheads (as of 2021) by the end of 2026? 39% Will any country become a new nuclear power in 2026? (ID: 231674) Volume: real 35.98814298, play 11394.63175883 Bettors: real 6, play 9 Leading (real money): Will any country become a new nuclear power in 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Will any country become a new nuclear power in 2026? 10%

New nuclear weapon tests in 2024?

Market Rules

The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea) is the only country to have conducted nuclear tests in the 21st century. The most recent was in 2017. Yet, there's a growing concern over arms control worldwide amid global tensions, including suspicion of undercover nuclear testing in some countries.

If the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) notifies at least one new nuclear weapon test in the world between January 1st and December 31st, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".

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