Markets
Leaderboard
US recognition of an independent Palestinean state in 2024? No: real money 95%, play money 97% Yes: real money 5%, play money 3% Volume: real money 448.03895999, play money 64882 Bettors: real money 16, play money 89 Categories: Politics, USA, White House, Foreign Affairs Related markets Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.61949177, play 138193.40726428 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 10% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117480.45119066 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72%

US recognition of an independent Palestinean state in 2024?

Market Rules

In January 2024, Axios reported that the US State Department reviewed possible political options for the recognition of a Palestinian state after the Israel-Hamas war. A change in the USA’s position could be very consequential to the Middle East region.

This market aims to predict if by December 31st, 2024, at 23:59 (UTC-3), the United States of America will declare to recognize an independent Palestinean state, rather than just an occupied territory. If by that deadline the United States either explicitly declares to recognize Palestine as an independent state, or openly advocates for its recognition as a full member of the United Nations with voting rights, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Tags

Related Markets