NASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 16%, play money 7% No: real money 84%, play money 93% Volume: real money 439.83226925, play money 44412.2645146 Bettors: real money 10, play money 17 Categories: Science, Space Exploration, Moon, Artemis Mission Related markets Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028? (ID: 112737) Volume: real 309.72233194, play 4684.86053528 Bettors: real 4, play 32 Leading (real money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 80% Leading (play money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 76% SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? (ID: 188272) Volume: real 413.31508456, play 72880.01331637 Bettors: real 14, play 85 Leading (real money): SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? 50% Leading (play money): SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? 8% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 824.95285104, play 170877.26768731 Bettors: real 24, play 136 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 50% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 50%

NASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

NASA has started a moon mission program called Artemis, as a reference to the twin sister of the Greek god Apollo, which named the first moon mission program. The program wants to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon and use the mission as a practice to land humans on Mars.

If, by December 31, 2026, Artemis 3 successfully lands at least one woman and one man on the Moon this market will resolve to "Yes".

If NASA officially announces there will be no launch attempt for Artemis 3 by the end of 2026, this market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the announcement, with no need to wait until the end of 2026.

Failed launch attempts will not lead this market to resolve as "No" unless NASA confirms that the following launch attempt will only take place after the end of 2026.

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Comments

  • Mad_Scientist: The NASA did announce the postponement of the mission till 2027. This should be resolved as No ( https://nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-shares-orion-heat-shield-findings-updates-artemis-moon-missions/ ). Probability that they would catch up and move the launch date back to 2026 is very low 

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