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Global temperature in November 2024 to be higher than in November 2023? No: real money 85%, play money 66% Yes: real money 15%, play money 34% Volume: real money 463.34370402, play money 22030 Bettors: real money 10, play money 34 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 965.16141894, play 508517.50310836 Bettors: real 43, play 1223 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 51% Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 375.69614308, play 69130.45887073 Bettors: real 11, play 26 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 72% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 80% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 316.75459546, play 17381.5251826 Bettors: real 23, play 60 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 46% Leading (play money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 62%

Global temperature in November 2024 to be higher than in November 2023?

Market Rules

According to the US Environmental Information Centers of Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), September 2023 was the warmest month since it began recording global temperature 144 years ago. This "milestone" is yet another alarm of the climate crisis arising from human activity, and raises questions about the measurements for the coming months.

If the rise in the world's global temperature — i.e. the combination of both land surface and ocean temperatures — for November 2024 is greater than +1.42°C (the recorded rise for November 2023), this market will resolve to “Yes”.

This market will be resolved based on the data made available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/all/8/2015-2024

If NOAA changes its method for calculating global temperature, Futuur will use its discretion to determine the most comparable figure for resolution.

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