Will Iran announce uranium enrichment at 90% purity in 2025? Yes: real money 6%, play money 5% No: real money 94%, play money 95% Volume: real money 464.7847375, play money 19372 Bettors: real money 11, play money 10 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Iran Related markets Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 549.24484714, play 45162.70037 Bettors: real 11, play 19 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 63% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 40% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 374.72695277, play 33729.11805331 Bettors: real 10, play 25 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 15%

Will Iran announce uranium enrichment at 90% purity in 2025?

Market Rules

According to Reuters, a recent report by the International Atomic Energy Agency stated that Iran had increased the purity of its uranium refinement from 20% to 60%. Months before the report, Iran had announced it would, indeed, proceed in this manner, alleging that the enrichment goal was entirely peaceful. However, Israel and some Western powers fear that the country will achieve a 90% refinement level, which would allow it to produce nuclear weapons.

If by 23:59 (UTC) of December 31, 2025, either Iranian authorities announce the intention to enrich uranium with 90% purity or the International Atomic Energy Agency reports the actual increase in the Iranian uranium enrichment to that level, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If there are conflicting reports about Iran's uranium enrichment levels, Futuur will use its discretion to determine the most reliable source for resolution.

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