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ChatGPT to reach 500 million unique users by the end of 2025? Yes: real money 95%, play money 97% No: real money 5%, play money 3% Volume: real money 432.43491595, play money 37610 Bettors: real money 8, play money 12 Categories: Finance, Big Companies, OpenAI Related markets Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026? (ID: 188455) Volume: real 956.89949377, play 45457.99816878 Bettors: real 19, play 44 Leading (real money): Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026? 8% Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (ID: 231720) Volume: real 2474.98449705, play 198727.325218 Bettors: real 43, play 54 Leading (real money): Anthropic 81% Leading (play money): Anthropic 67%

ChatGPT to reach 500 million unique users by the end of 2025?

Market Rules

This prediction market aims to determine whether ChatGPT, an AI language model developed by OpenAI, will reach 500 million unique users before or on December 31, 2025. The outcome will be determined based on an official announcement from OpenAI, or news reports from major news outlets that Futuur deems credible.

The market will resolve as 'Yes' if ChatGPT reaches 500 million unique users at any point in 2025, and 'No' if it does not.

For this market, "unique users" refer to unique individuals who have used ChatGPT directly or indirectly through platforms, applications, or APIs built on top of the ChatGPT model.

If the actual milestone of ChatGPT reaching 500 million users is reached before the end of 2025, but the announcement is made between January 1st and 15th, 2026, the market will resolve as 'Yes' as well.

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