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Either Fitch or S&P to raise Brazil’s sovereign bond rating by the end of 2025? Yes: real money 5%, play money 6% No: real money 95%, play money 94% Volume: real money 223.46115465, play money 24367 Bettors: real money 6, play money 6 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Brazil Related markets Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? (ID: 161038) Volume: real 162.03488133, play 150270.53470951 Bettors: real 21, play 267 Leading (real money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026? 4% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.96250776, play 469723.07360555 Bettors: real 43, play 1221 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 49% Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? (ID: 156870) Volume: real 1159.7503085, play 215565.15116915 Bettors: real 27, play 407 Leading (real money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 6% Leading (play money): Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term? 3% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6536.89585151, play 944610.58487737 Bettors: real 101, play 1871 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 97% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2001.92761259, play 259732.87917597 Bettors: real 43, play 550 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 11%

Either Fitch or S&P to raise Brazil’s sovereign bond rating by the end of 2025?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether Brazil’s sovereign credit rating will be upgraded by the credit rating agency Fitch or by the credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) by December 31, 2025, at 23:59 (UTC-3).

For this market to resolve as "Yes," any of the mentioned agencies (and not necessarily both) must publicly announce, by the specified date, that Brazil’s sovereign credit rating has been reconsidered to a level higher than BB.

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