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Will Michelle Bolsonaro run for vice president of Brazil in 2026? Yes: real money 3%, play money 4% No: real money 97%, play money 96% Volume: real money 369.26988705, play money 47818.94273442 Bettors: real money 9, play money 31 Categories: Politics, Brazil, 2026 Election Related markets Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 8390.39557007, play 774244.19073969 Bettors: real 122, play 209 Leading (real money): Lula 63% Leading (play money): Lula 98% Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? (ID: 228861) Volume: real 2784.43240322, play 263261.35169885 Bettors: real 32, play 140 Leading (real money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 60% Leading (play money): Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election? 71% Will Romeu Zema become the official presidential nominee for Partido Novo in Brazil’s 2026 election? (ID: 223311) Volume: real 832.95015679, play 39614.67583456 Bettors: real 16, play 47 Leading (real money): Will Romeu Zema become the official presidential nominee for Partido Novo in Brazil’s 2026 election? 96% Leading (play money): Will Romeu Zema become the official presidential nominee for Partido Novo in Brazil’s 2026 election? 80%

Will Michelle Bolsonaro run for vice president of Brazil in 2026?

Market Rules

This market will resolve as "Yes" if Michelle Bolsonaro is formally confirmed by any party as a vice-presidential candidate on any presidential ticket for Brazil's 2026 national elections, and her candidature is accepted and validated by Brazil's electoral courts.

The market will resolve to "Yes" if the following conditions are met:/p>

  1. Michelle Bolsonaro must be officially registered with Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) as a vice-presidential candidate on any presidential ticket for the 2026 elections;
  2. The registration must occur during the official candidate registration period established by the TSE for the 2026 elections;
  3. The registration must be accepted and validated by the TSE, making her an official candidate.

Merely announcing intentions or being informally nominated does not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Michelle Bolsonaro candidature is initially registered and validated, but she withdraws her candidacy before the election, the market still resolves as "YES".

If Michelle Bolsonaro is accepted as a vice-presidential candidate but the entire presidential ticket is later disqualified, the market will still resolve to "Yes", as long as their initial registration was valid.

If Michelle Bolsonaro registers as a vice-presidential candidate but electoral authorities later determine she was ineligible, the market will resolve to no, as she did not get to be validated by Brazil's electoral courts.

If the 2026 elections are postponed or cancelled for any reason, but Michelle Bolsonaro was registered and validated as a vice-presidential candidate for what was intended to be the 2026 cycle, the market resolves to "Yes".

It is irrelevant which political party or coalition nominates her, or which presidential candidate she is paired with.

This market will be resolved based on official records from Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), confirmed reporting from credible Brazilian news outlets, or other verifiable documentation of candidate registrations for the 2026 elections.

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