Markets
Leaderboard
Will Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20? Yes: real money 16%, play money 15% No: real money 84%, play money 85% Volume: real money 326.62232113, play money 41341.10536986 Bettors: real money 8, play money 16 Categories: Politics, USA, White House Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.78775908, play 114986.66327483 Bettors: real 39, play 211 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.5194239, play 137081.00274465 Bettors: real 30, play 209 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 11% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Will Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Donald Trump’s net favorability will be positive on December 20, 2026, as calculated by RealClearPolitics’ Poll Average. For this market, net favorability is defined as the percentage approving minus the percentage disapproving. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the RealClearPolitics poll average published on its official website for that date.

If the net favorability value (Approve minus Disapprove) is greater than 0.0 on December 20, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the RealClearPolitics page is unavailable or ambiguous on that date, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on archived versions or consistent reporting from major news organizations citing the RCP average. Resolution will reflect the substantive numerical value shown, not formatting or rounding technicalities. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets