Will the US expand its territory in 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether the United States will formally expand its territory at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, territorial expansion means the incorporation of new land under U.S. sovereignty (e.g., as a state, territory, district, or other legally defined designation). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official U.S. government announcements or legally binding acts confirming such incorporation.
If the United States formally incorporates new territory under its sovereign jurisdiction during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary arrangements such as military occupation, leases, or basing agreements will not count. Recognition by other countries is not required for resolution. If official documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major, reputable news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive transfer of sovereignty, not temporary control or administrative arrangements. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.