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Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026? Yes: real money 38%, play money 40% No: real money 62%, play money 60% Volume: real money 299.53588484, play money 28600.0017 Bettors: real money 3, play money 1 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? (ID: 215103) Volume: real 1807.52423562, play 103426.68140281 Bettors: real 24, play 88 Leading (real money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 5% Leading (play money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 3% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2422.49475017, play 113871.83467419 Bettors: real 34, play 205 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 50% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 71% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2666.17861997, play 452427.9782 Bettors: real 73, play 117 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 75% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1442.06982122, play 78179.99024344 Bettors: real 9, play 108 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 50% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 73%

Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether France will officially call a new legislative election at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be an official decree or announcement by the French government or presidency calling new legislative elections.

If France officially issues a decree or announcement calling new legislative elections during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speculation, political debate, or non-binding statements will not count. If official decrees are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive act of calling elections, not discussions or intent. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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