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Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026? Yes: real money 38%, play money 39% No: real money 62%, play money 61% Volume: real money 299.71631415, play money 28600.0017 Bettors: real money 7, play money 1 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2606.57432188, play 114003.76993742 Bettors: real 38, play 207 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 73% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 2954.32550732, play 483554.42548429 Bettors: real 91, play 124 Leading (real money): Lula 51% Leading (play money): Lula 45% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1565.19703063, play 78179.99024344 Bettors: real 17, play 108 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 44% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 74% Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? (ID: 215103) Volume: real 1807.60614471, play 103548.00377593 Bettors: real 26, play 89 Leading (real money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 5% Leading (play money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 3%

Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether France will officially call a new legislative election at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be an official decree or announcement by the French government or presidency calling new legislative elections.

If France officially issues a decree or announcement calling new legislative elections during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speculation, political debate, or non-binding statements will not count. If official decrees are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive act of calling elections, not discussions or intent. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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