Markets
Leaderboard
Will Pedro Sánchez still be Spain's Prime Minister through the end of 2026? Yes: real money 79%, play money 75% No: real money 21%, play money 25% Volume: real money 250.9678004, play money 21710.0057 Bettors: real money 2, play money 5 Categories: Politics, Europe, Spain Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 348.57914563, play 33309.7901 Bettors: real 9, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 5753.43938187, play 932132.89794923 Bettors: real 94, play 1854 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 50% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 94% Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? (ID: 157180) Volume: real 269.4501993, play 15760.02618173 Bettors: real 4, play 22 Leading (real money): Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? 94% Leading (play money): Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? 88% Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 293.37835724, play 17571.01662699 Bettors: real 13, play 40 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 50% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 81% Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? (ID: 185188) Volume: real 1034.78453626, play 59571.11212466 Bettors: real 15, play 81 Leading (real money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 98% Leading (play money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 84%

Will Pedro Sánchez still be Spain's Prime Minister through the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Pedro Sánchez will remain in office as Prime Minister of Spain through December 31, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Spanish government announcements or records confirming the prime ministership.

If Pedro Sánchez officially remains Prime Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If he is formally replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official replacement, regardless of caretaker periods. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Spanish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive holding of the office, not interim arrangements. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets