Will the Insurrection Act be invoked by the US government in 2026?

This event predicts whether the U.S. government will invoke the Insurrection Act at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official presidential proclamations or executive orders invoking the Act.

If there is a public and official invocation of the Insurrection Act during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Subsequent court challenges or outcomes do not affect resolution; only the initial invocation matters. If official proclamations are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive invocation of the Act, not later legal developments. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.