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Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 20%, play money 25% No: real money 80%, play money 75% Volume: real money 37.31472918, play money 263.25711737 Bettors: real money 6, play money 5 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Turkey Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2052.04351725, play 31302.33685035 Bettors: real 26, play 88 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 43% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1126.05809971, play 56895.46064288 Bettors: real 19, play 55 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 11% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 13% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 33263.42149224, play 1897172.06995606 Bettors: real 152, play 323 Leading (real money): Flávio Bolsonaro 77% Leading (play money): Flávio Bolsonaro 74% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1655.2215382, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 51% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Ekrem İmamoğlu will be released from jail at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, leaving jail means no longer being physically incarcerated under state custody. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from Turkish judicial or penitentiary authorities.

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is officially released from jail during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary leaves, hospital transfers, or house arrest that maintain custodial status will not count as release. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Turkish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive release from incarceration, not temporary or custodial changes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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