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Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 20%, play money 25% No: real money 80%, play money 75% Volume: real money 37.31472918, play money 263.25711737 Bettors: real money 6, play money 5 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Turkey Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 24, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 22009.90152686, play 1024768.57177247 Bettors: real 133, play 253 Leading (real money): Lula 65% Leading (play money): Lula 58% Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026 (ID: 236763) Volume: real 8114.74203694, play 484892.05924164 Bettors: real 54, play 66 Leading (real money): Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) 84% Leading (play money): Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) 69% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1629.54428251, play 36328.18707992 Bettors: real 24, play 118 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 50% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Ekrem İmamoğlu will be released from jail at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, leaving jail means no longer being physically incarcerated under state custody. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from Turkish judicial or penitentiary authorities.

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is officially released from jail during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary leaves, hospital transfers, or house arrest that maintain custodial status will not count as release. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Turkish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive release from incarceration, not temporary or custodial changes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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